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Latest Analysis

Technical Analysis – USDCAD pauses four-day slide

USDCAD pauses bearish correction near support area Technical signals are weak amid holiday-thinned liquidity conditions All eyes turn to the US core PCE inflation due at 12:30 GMT   USDCAD was trading with soft positive momentum around 1.3547 during Friday’s early European trading hours as investors headed into the Easter holiday.
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY weakens near 191.00

GBPJPY remains above the rising trend line But technical oscillators are losing steam as well GBPJPY has been posting some flat days over the last four sessions, holding near the short-term uptrend line. The market is developing near the 191.00 round number with the technical oscillators confirming the weakening momentum. The RSI is moving horizontally above the neutral threshold of 50, while the MACD is holding beneath its trigger line above zero level.
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Technical Analysis – BTCUSD advances towards all-time highs

BTCUSD pauses pullback and rotates higher Conquers 70,000 but encounters strong resistance Momentum indicators are tilted to the upside BTCUSD (Bitcoin) had been undergoing a strong pullback from its all-time highs, dropping to as low as 60,760 last week. However, the price quickly recovered significant ground, surpassing the 70,000 psychological mark and to trade within breathing distance from its all-time highs.

Technical Analysis – AUDUSD gets bearish vibes

AUDUSD violates key support zone Bearish pressures could persist in short-term   AUDUSD’s short-term upward pattern is under threat as it faces the risk of closing below the October support trendline at 0.6500, following another rejection near its exponential moving averages (EMAs). Technical indicators suggest the bears are in control as the RSI is decelerating below its 50 neutral mark and the MACD is weakening within the negative region.
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Technical Analysis – WTI oil futures in fierce battle with 50.0% Fibo

WTI futures post an almost 5-month peak But fail to advance further and hover around 50.0% Fibo Oscillators suggest that the bulls retain the upper hand WTI oil futures (May delivery) have been in a steady recovery from their December bottom of 67.97, posting an almost five-month peak of 83.10 last week. However, the advance seems to be on hold for now as the price has reversed lower and formed a symmetrical triangle around the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the 95.02-67.9
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Technical Analysis – GER 40 index marks highs after highs

German 40 index hits all-time high Uptrend shows ongoing strength, but a pause is likely   The German 40 index has been having an exceptional performance so far in 2024, gaining more than 10% to unlock an all-time high of 18,510 on Wednesday. The ongoing positive trend has yet to show any cracks, but with the price marking its 10th consecutive green week near the upper Bollinger band and the momentum indicators pointing to overbought conditions, the bears could be around the corne
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Gold remains above SMAs and close to 2,200 MACD strengthens its momentum Gold prices continue to rise above the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs), stretching the upward pattern towards the record high of 2,222.68. According to the MACD, positive momentum could push for further gains in the short-term as the indicator picks up steam above its red signal line.
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Technical Analysis – NZDUSD returns to bearish trend

NZDUSD extends bearish trend to a four-month low Resistance near 0.6000; support seen at 0.5980   Following two weeks of losses, NZDUSD is now aiming to find a firm footing around 0.6000, having dropped to a four-month low of 0.5984. The latest bearish wave has re-activated the downtrend from December’s peak of 0.6368. Overcoming the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the October-December upleg at 0.6000 may prove difficult, leading to a decline below the support trendline at 0.5
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Technical Analysis – Are USDJPY bulls ready for a new record high?

USDJPY trades higher again, testing the October 21, 2022 high Last week's events have renewed the bullish pressure as intervention risk increases Momentum indicators support the bullish move; all eyes are on the stochastic oscillator USDJPY is continuing its journey north and it is now testing the October 21, 2022 high at 151.94 as last week’s events have probably invigorated the bulls.
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Technical Analysis – Will EURJPY re-test the 16-year high soon?

EURJPY rebounds off 163.30, holding above rising trend line Bullish bias in longer-term timeframes But MACD and RSI loses momentum in near term EURJPY found support at the 163.30 barrier and is moving again towards the 16-year high of 165.36 that was recorded on March 20. The pair has been remaining in an upward tendency since December 7, but the technical oscillators are indicating weakening bias.
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Weekly Technical Outlook – USDJPY, EURUSD, Gold

USDJPY consolidates gains after touching important resistance EURUSD begins to recover, but threats remain Will gold’s bull run take a breather after record high?   Core PCE inflation --> USDJPY The Bank of Japan’s decision to exit negative interest rates did not provide a helping hand to the yen. Neither did the Fed’s unchanged projections of three rate cuts in 2024 weigh harshly on the US dollar, with USDJPY barely losing ground within the 151.00 territory after marki
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Technical Analysis – EURCHF rallies towards 8-month high

EURCHF looks strongly bullish this year Technical oscillators confirm upside tendency EURCHF has added almost 6% since the beginning of the year, recording a new eight-month high of 0.9786. The pair is creating a steep upward tendency with no notable bearish corrections so far in 2024. The RSI indicator is standing in the overbought region and is still pointing north, while the MACD is extending its positive momentum above its trigger and zero lines.
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US 100 cash index is in the green today, hovering just below its all-time high The market survived a key week and is probably preparing for the Easter break Momentum indicators remain mostly on the bulls’ side The US 100 cash index is edging higher today as the market survived, mostly unscathed, the busiest week of 2024. It continues to trade a tad below its March 21, 2024 high at 18,467 but only above the October 26, 2023 ascending trendline.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD bounces off 200-day SMA

GBPUSD finds support at uptrend line But short-term outlook remains neutral MACD and RSI are mixed GBPUSD rebounded off the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which coincides with the 1.2595 support level and the medium-term ascending trend line. The market has still been developing within a consolidation area since November 21, despite the break to the upside that it had on March 8, which seems to be a failed signal.
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Technical Analysis – Gold pulls back from all-time high

Gold moves horizontally within 2,145-2,195 MACD and RSI lose steam Gold prices have been moving lower over the last couple of days after the bullish spike towards the all-time high of 2,222.68 that was posted in the preceding week. The market has been developing within a narrow range of 2,145 to 2,195 since March 7 with the technical oscillators confirming a weakening bias.
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Technical Analysis – EURUSD dives towards 1.0800

EURUSD breaks SMAs to the downside Immediate support at rising trend line MACD and RSI suggest more negative movements EURUSD is showing some strong selling interest over the last couple of days, following the pullback from the 1.0940 resistance level. The price is also falling beneath the 50- and the 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) with the next support coming from the 1.0795 bar and the medium-term ascending trend line which may act as a turning point.
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Technical Analysis – Is there stronger bullish trend for USDCAD?

USDCAD switches back to gains, surpasses SMAs Technical signals cannot warrant a bullish channel breakout   USDCAD successfully recovered from a flash drop to 1.3454 and closed Thursday’s session above the 50- and 200-day SMAs, maintaining its position within the short-term bullish channel. Consequently, the bulls piled in on Friday to drive the pair above the 20-day SMA and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the November-December downtrend, which has been a key resistance zone since
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Technical Analysis – GBPJPY plummets from 8½-year high

GBPJPY may rest near 190.00 round number MACD and RSI confirm bearish retracement Broader outlook looks strongly bullish GBPJPY is retreating after the pullback off the eight-and-a-half-year high of 193.55 and is moving towards the short-term ascending trend line. According to technical oscillators, the RSI is heading south following the strong rally until the 70 level, while the MACD is losing some steam above its trigger and zero lines, both confirming the recent bearish correct
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Technical Analysis – USDJPY reaction to the Fed and BoJ decisions

Fed and BoJ decisions have some impact on USDJPY Daily chart shows some weakness for the next few sessions But weekly chart looks strongly bullish FOMC decision drives dollar lower The dollar declined following the FOMC meeting on Wednesday, as Federal Reserve Chair Powell adopted a more accommodative stance. Policymakers have maintained the dot plot’s view for this year, which indicates a total of 75 basis points worth of interest rate reductions.
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Technical Analysis – GBPUSD trims FOMC rally amid a busy day

GBPUSD corrects lower after hitting resistance at 1.2800 Technical signals weaken, but key support levels are underneath   GBPUSD rose exponentially in the aftermath of the FOMC policy meeting, but the ascending line drawn from the December 2023 low interrupted the rally near the 1.2800 level and forced a new bearish move on Thursday before the BoE policy announcement due at 12:00 GMT.
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